Differences

This shows you the differences between two versions of the page.

Link to this comparison view

Both sides previous revisionPrevious revision
blog:excess_deaths_and_the_elephant_in_the_room_-_part_2 [2026/04/19 19:59] – correct "boosters" to "vaccinations" adminblog:excess_deaths_and_the_elephant_in_the_room_-_part_2 [2026/04/19 20:07] (current) admin
Line 8: Line 8:
  
 //Weekly deaths in Switzerland (source: [[https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142/https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/en/home/statistics/health/state-health/mortality-causes-death.html|bfs.admin.ch]])// //Weekly deaths in Switzerland (source: [[https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142/https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/en/home/statistics/health/state-health/mortality-causes-death.html|bfs.admin.ch]])//
 +
 \\ \\
 \\ \\
Line 20: Line 21:
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/2/2e/CH-2021-deaths.png/600px-CH-2021-deaths.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/2/2e/CH-2021-deaths.png/600px-CH-2021-deaths.png}}\\
 //Weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 (incl.first month of 2022)// //Weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 (incl.first month of 2022)//
 +
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/a/a5/CH-2021-deathsWithCovid.png/550px-CH-2021-deathsWithCovid.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/a/a5/CH-2021-deathsWithCovid.png/550px-CH-2021-deathsWithCovid.png}}\\
 //Weekly deaths with Covid-19 in Switzerland in 2021// //Weekly deaths with Covid-19 in Switzerland in 2021//
 \\ \\
 \\ \\
-By subtracting the Weekly Covid deaths from the Weekly deaths we obtain:+By subtracting the Weekly Covid deaths from the Weekly deaths we obtain: \\ 
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/9/97/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png/600px-CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/9/97/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png/600px-CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png}}\\
 //Weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 that were not associated with Covid-19// //Weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 that were not associated with Covid-19//
 +
 \\ \\
-\\ +Comparing with the weekly vaccinations: \\
-Comparing with the weekly vaccinations:+
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/2/24/CH-Vaccine-boosts.png/550px-CH-Vaccine-boosts.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/2/24/CH-Vaccine-boosts.png/550px-CH-Vaccine-boosts.png}}\\
 //Weekly Covid-19 boost vaccine doses in Switzerland in 2021 and Jan.2022// //Weekly Covid-19 boost vaccine doses in Switzerland in 2021 and Jan.2022//
Line 48: Line 51:
 In view of the large differences between those age groups, based on the above numbers the simulation was refined for a little more precision (partly making use of finer age group data and partly assuming that older people tend to get vaccinated earlier - see spreadsheet "Refined analysis" in the ODS file). In view of the large differences between those age groups, based on the above numbers the simulation was refined for a little more precision (partly making use of finer age group data and partly assuming that older people tend to get vaccinated earlier - see spreadsheet "Refined analysis" in the ODS file).
  
-Taking again the plot of non-Covid-19 weekly deaths,+Taking again the plot of non-Covid-19 weekly deaths, \\
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/9/97/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png/600px-CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/9/97/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png/600px-CH-2021-deaths-not-C19.png}}\\
 //Weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 that were not associated with Covid-19// //Weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 that were not associated with Covid-19//
  
 \\ \\
- 
 Then by subtracting the simulated vaccination deaths, \\ Then by subtracting the simulated vaccination deaths, \\
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/6/60/CH-2021-vaccinedeath-sim.png/550px-CH-2021-vaccinedeath-sim.png}} \\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/6/60/CH-2021-vaccinedeath-sim.png/550px-CH-2021-vaccinedeath-sim.png}} \\
 //Simulated weekly Covid.19 vaccine deaths, based on assumptions in table 1, refined// //Simulated weekly Covid.19 vaccine deaths, based on assumptions in table 1, refined//
 +\\
  
 we obtain death rates in the normal range (except for the "reaping effect"): \\ we obtain death rates in the normal range (except for the "reaping effect"): \\
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/9/99/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19-not-vaccine.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/9/99/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19-not-vaccine.png}}\\
 //Simulation of deaths in Switzerland in 2021 without deaths due to Covid-19 and vaccines// //Simulation of deaths in Switzerland in 2021 without deaths due to Covid-19 and vaccines//
- 
 \\ \\
  
Line 73: Line 75:
 {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/a/a1/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19plus20percent-NoVax.png/650px-CH-2021-deaths-not-C19plus20percent-NoVax.png}}\\ {{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/a/a1/CH-2021-deaths-not-C19plus20percent-NoVax.png/650px-CH-2021-deaths-not-C19plus20percent-NoVax.png}}\\
 //Simulation of weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 without deaths due to Covid-19 and vaccines, accounting for 20% more deaths from Covid-19// //Simulation of weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 without deaths due to Covid-19 and vaccines, accounting for 20% more deaths from Covid-19//
- 
 \\ \\
  
Line 88: Line 89:
  
 PS. As the "boosters" were very concentrated in time, it's not very satisfying to simulate with vaccine deaths in the same week as boosters; medically more plausible is the same and the following week. So I still did a variant simulation with half the deaths in the same week and half in the following week. The result is even slightly better: \\ PS. As the "boosters" were very concentrated in time, it's not very satisfying to simulate with vaccine deaths in the same week as boosters; medically more plausible is the same and the following week. So I still did a variant simulation with half the deaths in the same week and half in the following week. The result is even slightly better: \\
-{{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/2/29/Boost-simulation_refined.png/650px-Boost-simulation_refined.png}}+ 
 +{{https://web.archive.org/web/20231129013142im_/https://infocheckers.org/images/thumb/2/29/Boost-simulation_refined.png/650px-Boost-simulation_refined.png}} \\
 //Simulation of weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 without deaths due to Covid-19 and vaccines, refined// //Simulation of weekly deaths in Switzerland in 2021 without deaths due to Covid-19 and vaccines, refined//
 \\ \\